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Monday, 5 November 2012

The stakes in Florida

 As the US election day looms, polls are showing America’s largest swing state Florida to be tied in a dead heat between Romney and Obama. Florida has 29 electoral votes and the third largest “Hispanic” population in America. Normally this means an easy victory for any Democrat.

But oh dear! It turns out that about a third of these Florida Hispanics are Cuban-Americans.
A poll last week of voters in Florida’s Miami-Dade county by the Miami Herald found the following breakdown:

                 Obama     Romney       Undecided
White:         64%             30%             6%
Black:          95%               2%             3%
Hispanic:      33%            62%              5%

Hey, wait a minute!” liberals wail. “But every poll on the planet shows Obama with at least 70% of the U.S. Hispanic vote. So what’s going on here?”
Americans of Cuban heritage as usual, that’s what’s going on. The Miami Herald poll broke it down further, noting that Cuban-Americans support Obama 19%, Romney 76% and 5% are undecided.
In brief: no ethnic group in the U.S. comes even close to matching Cuban-Americans in their level of disdain for President Barack Obama in particular and the Democratic Party in general.
What does this mean for the election? It means if Romney wins and he needs Florida to win and he wins in Florida - he will owe his victory to the Cuban -Americans... so kiss goodbye to any change in US policy towards Cuba. However, if Obama wins and he needs Florida to win and he wins there, he will owe them NOTHING!
It's not rocket science...

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